Russia may leave Ukraine for 7 days without electricity.
Russian terrorists, due to large-scale shelling of the Ukrainian energy infrastructure, can lead to a blackout, which will last from 12 hours to 7 days.
Forbes writes about this with reference to a report available to the government.
First scenario: blackout on the Left Bank of Ukraine
According to this scenario, Russia launches massive missile strikes on transit substations that transmit electricity from the west to the east of the country and hit power plants on the Left Bank.
In such conditions, Chernihiv, Sumy, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk regions, as well as parts of Kharkov, Donetsk and Luhansk regions controlled by Ukraine will remain without electricity. Partially Nikolaev, Kherson, Kirovograd, Cherkasy and Kyiv regions, together with the left bank of Kyiv. Estimated shutdown time is 12 to 24 hours.
Scenario two: blackout of the whole country
Russia is massively attacking power plants and substations across the country, but Ukraine can benefit from the European energy system. Power supply recovery time – 12-24 hours.
Third scenario: blackout for 7 days
Russian terrorists are massively attacking the open switchgears of nuclear power plants, as well as substations connecting the Ukrainian energy system with the European one.
Nuclear power plants can stay in operation at one power unit, having 100-140 MW for their own needs. But in the event of a strike in the immediate vicinity of the nuclear power plant, it is highly likely that nuclear power plants will be stopped. Then it will not be possible to start the nuclear power plant in 2 hours.
First, we will have to reconnect with the European energy system. At the same time, power supply will be restored with a small hydroelectric power station and a thermal power plant. It will take up to 7 days to resume the operation of the nuclear power plant. Only then will it be possible to return electricity to industry.
Massive rocket attacks on Ukraine
Russian terrorists from October 10 massively shelled Ukraine with rockets. On November 23 alone, the invaders fired 70 missiles at our state, 51 of which were shot down.
Because of this, the Ukrainian energy infrastructure has once again been damaged. There are a huge number of household consumers without electricity. Ukraine has resumed power supply to all critical infrastructure facilities: hospitals, water utilities. There is a gradual connection of household consumers.